Conditional probabilities of post-release events for hazardous materials pipelines

Pipelines are commonly considered a safe alternative for the transportation of hazardous materials. However, in case of failure, pipelines still pose major risks to the environment and to the population potentially exposed. The aim of the present work is to provide occurrence probabilities of the in...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Bubbico, Roberto, Carbone, F, Ramírez Camacho, Jaime Giovanni|||0000-0002-1984-0590, Pastor Ferrer, Elsa|||0000-0002-2985-3635, Casal Fàbrega, Joaquim|||0000-0001-5334-4059
Tipo de documento: artigo
Data de publicação:2016
País:España
Recursos:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositório:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglês
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/100456
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/100456
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.psep.2016.08.011
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Hazardous materials transportation
Pipelines
Transportation
Accidental release
Event trees
Probabilities
Hazardous materials
Substàncies perilloses -- Transport
Accidents -- Prevenció
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química::Química del medi ambient
Descrição
Resumo:Pipelines are commonly considered a safe alternative for the transportation of hazardous materials. However, in case of failure, pipelines still pose major risks to the environment and to the population potentially exposed. The aim of the present work is to provide occurrence probabilities of the intermediate and final events following the accidental release of hazardous materials from pipelines. A collection of incidents and accidents occurred worldwide in connection with the use of onshore long-distance pipeline networks, has been gathered to make up a specific database for the analysis of incidents in pipelines. A qualitative and quantitative analysis of the data has allowed to develop detailed event trees for the different classes of hazardous materials, and to calculate the probability of occurrence of the final outcomes. The investigation has also aimed at identifying, for each type of release, the relationship between the final events and the causes of the pipeline failure. The results obtained represent a useful and needed starting point in Quantitative Risk Analysis of hazardous materials transportation via pipelines.