Estimación Bayesiana de los parámetros estructurales de los modelos Multivariados Autoregresivos de Umbrales con ruido t-Student multivariado

Sometimes it is necessary to work with multivariate time series that have heavy tails and in particular multivariate Student t-noise. Unfortunately, there is no Bayesian methodology in the literature known to the author that allows estimating the structural parameters of a multivariate TAR model. In...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Ibáñez Forero, Luis Eduardo
Tipo de recurso: tesis de maestría
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:Colombia
Institución:Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Repositorio:Repositorio UN
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unal.edu.co:unal/77786
Acceso en línea:https://repositorio.unal.edu.co/handle/unal/77786
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:500 - Ciencias naturales y matemáticas
Bayesian Analysis
Monte Carlo Markov Chain
Multivariate threshold autoregressive models
Análisis Bayesiano
Cadenas de Markov Monte Carlo
Modelos multivariados autoregresivos de umbrales
Descripción
Sumario:Sometimes it is necessary to work with multivariate time series that have heavy tails and in particular multivariate Student t-noise. Unfortunately, there is no Bayesian methodology in the literature known to the author that allows estimating the structural parameters of a multivariate TAR model. In this sense, the analysis of the autoregressive multivariate models of thresholds and multivariate t-Student noise is carried out via the Bayesian approach and the proposed methodology is examined through simulations and an application in the stock market field.