The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening

This paper examines one of the possible channels through which incumbent elites aligned with the Brazilian dictatorship were able to withhold their political power during the democratization in the 1980s. Based on national household survey data and results from legislative elections, we first find t...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Bruce, Raphael, Rocha, Rudi
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:2015
País:Brasil
Recursos:EDITORA 34
Repositório:Revista de Economia Política
Idioma:português
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs2.centrodeeconomiapolitica.org:article/243
Acesso em linha:https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/243
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:democratização
elites
oligarquia rural
democratization
rural oligarchy
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spelling The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic openingA Reação da Elite Política Incumbente na Abertura Democrática Brasileirademocratizaçãoelitesoligarquia ruraldemocratizationelitesrural oligarchyThis paper examines one of the possible channels through which incumbent elites aligned with the Brazilian dictatorship were able to withhold their political power during the democratization in the 1980s. Based on national household survey data and results from legislative elections, we first find that recently franchised illiterate voters who lived in states that were dominated by the elite party during the dictatorship had a higher probability to register to vote than those who lived in other states. We then investigate whether this positive correlation represents a reaction from the incumbent elites in order to keep their political power through voter manipulation or a reaction from these voters in order to remove the power from the oligarchies. We find that, in states dominated by the elite party, illiterates had higher probability of being politically uninterested and uninformed. Our results suggest that a politically motivated reaction from this population is implausible. JEL Classification: D72; D78; I25.Este artigo analisa um dos possíveis canais através dos quais as elites incumbentes alinhadas com a ditadura brasileira foram capazes de reter o seu poder político durante a democratização na década de 1980. Com base em dados do PNAD e resultados de eleições legislativas, verificamos primeiro que os eleitores analfabetos que viviam nos estados que foram dominados pelo partido de elite durante a ditadura tinham uma probabilidade maior de se registar para votar do que aqueles que viviam em outros estados. Investigamos então se esta correlação positiva representa uma reação das elites incumbentes a fim de manter o seu poder político através da manipulação do eleitor ou se representa uma reação destes eleitores, a fim de tirar o poder das oligarquias. Constatamos que, em estados dominados pelo partido de elite, os analfabetos apresentaram maior probabilidade de estarem politicamente desinteressados e desinformados. Nossos resultados sugerem que uma reação politicamente motivada a partir desta população é implausível.  Classificação JEL: D72; D78; I25.Center of Political Economy2015-07-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/24310.1590/0101-31572015v35n03a14Brazilian Journal of Political Economy; Vol. 35 No. 3 (2015): Jul-Sep / 2015; 645-660Brazilian Journal of Political Economy; v. 35 n. 3 (2015): Jul-Set / 2015; 645-6601809-45380101-3157reponame:Revista de Economia Políticainstname:EDITORA 34instacron:EDITORA_34porhttps://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/243/233info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBruce, RaphaelRocha, Rudi2020-10-07T18:40:16Zoai:ojs2.centrodeeconomiapolitica.org:article/243Revistahttps://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journalONGhttps://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/oai||cecilia.heise@bjpe.org.br1809-45380101-3157opendoar:2020-10-07T18:40:16Revista de Economia Política - EDITORA 34false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
A Reação da Elite Política Incumbente na Abertura Democrática Brasileira
title The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
spellingShingle The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
Bruce, Raphael
democratização
elites
oligarquia rural
democratization
elites
rural oligarchy
title_short The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
title_full The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
title_fullStr The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
title_full_unstemmed The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
title_sort The reaction of the political incumbent elites in the Brazilian democratic opening
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Bruce, Raphael
Rocha, Rudi
author Bruce, Raphael
author_facet Bruce, Raphael
Rocha, Rudi
author_role author
author2 Rocha, Rudi
author2_role author
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv democratização
elites
oligarquia rural
democratization
elites
rural oligarchy
topic democratização
elites
oligarquia rural
democratization
elites
rural oligarchy
description This paper examines one of the possible channels through which incumbent elites aligned with the Brazilian dictatorship were able to withhold their political power during the democratization in the 1980s. Based on national household survey data and results from legislative elections, we first find that recently franchised illiterate voters who lived in states that were dominated by the elite party during the dictatorship had a higher probability to register to vote than those who lived in other states. We then investigate whether this positive correlation represents a reaction from the incumbent elites in order to keep their political power through voter manipulation or a reaction from these voters in order to remove the power from the oligarchies. We find that, in states dominated by the elite party, illiterates had higher probability of being politically uninterested and uninformed. Our results suggest that a politically motivated reaction from this population is implausible. JEL Classification: D72; D78; I25.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-07-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/243
10.1590/0101-31572015v35n03a14
url https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/243
identifier_str_mv 10.1590/0101-31572015v35n03a14
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/243/233
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Center of Political Economy
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Center of Political Economy
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Brazilian Journal of Political Economy; Vol. 35 No. 3 (2015): Jul-Sep / 2015; 645-660
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy; v. 35 n. 3 (2015): Jul-Set / 2015; 645-660
1809-4538
0101-3157
reponame:Revista de Economia Política
instname:EDITORA 34
instacron:EDITORA_34
instname_str EDITORA 34
instacron_str EDITORA_34
institution EDITORA_34
reponame_str Revista de Economia Política
collection Revista de Economia Política
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista de Economia Política - EDITORA 34
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||cecilia.heise@bjpe.org.br
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