A benchmarking between deep learning, support vector machine and bayesian threshold best linear unbiased prediction for predicting ordinal traits in plant breeding

Genomic selection is revolutionizing plant breeding. However, still lacking are better statistical models for ordinal phenotypes to improve the accuracy of the selection of candidate genotypes. For this reason, in this paper we explore the genomic based prediction performance of two popular machine...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Montesinos-Lopez, O.A., Martin Vallejo, F.J., Crossa, J., Gianola, D., Hernández Suárez, C.M., Montesinos-López, A., Juliana, P., Singh, R.P.
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2019
Country:México
Institution:Centro Internacional de Mejoramiento de Maíz y Trigo
Repository:Repositorio Institucional de Publicaciones Multimedia del CIMMYT
OAI Identifier:oai:repository.cimmyt.org:10883/20090
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10883/20090
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND BIOTECHNOLOGY
Threshold GBLUP
Deep Learning
Support Vector Machine
Genomic Selection
Genomic Prediction
GenPred
Shared Data Resources
BAYESIAN THEORY
STATISTICAL METHODS
MACHINE LEARNING
ARTIFICIAL SELECTION
PLANT BREEDING
CROP FORECASTING
DATA ANALYSIS
Description
Summary:Genomic selection is revolutionizing plant breeding. However, still lacking are better statistical models for ordinal phenotypes to improve the accuracy of the selection of candidate genotypes. For this reason, in this paper we explore the genomic based prediction performance of two popular machine learning methods: the Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) and support vector machine (SVM) methods vs. the Bayesian threshold genomic best linear unbiased prediction (TGBLUP) model. We used the percentage of cases correctly classified (PCCC) as a metric to measure the prediction performance, and seven real data sets to evaluate the prediction accuracy, and found that the best predictions (in four out of the seven data sets) in terms of PCCC occurred under the TGLBUP model, while the worst occurred under the SVM method. Also, in general we found no statistical differences between using 1, 2 and 3 layers under the MLP models, which means that many times the conventional neuronal network model with only one layer is enough. However, although even that the TGBLUP model was better, we found that the predictions of MLP and SVM were very competitive with the advantage that the SVM was the most efficient in terms of the computational time required.