Electricity Market Price Forecasting Based on Weighted Nearest Neighbors Techniques

This paper presents a simple technique to forecast next-day electricity market prices based on the weighted nearest neighbors methodology. First, it is explained how the relevant parameters defining the adopted model are obtained. Such parameters have to do with the window length of the time series...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Troncoso Lora, Alicia, Riquelme Santos, Jesús Manuel, Gómez Expósito, Antonio, Martínez Ramos, José Luis, Riquelme Santos, José Cristóbal
Format: article
Status:Versión enviada para evaluación y publicación
Publication Date:2007
Country:España
Institution:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
Repository:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
OAI Identifier:oai:idus.us.es:11441/96562
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/11441/96562
https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2007.901670
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Electricity Market Price
Weighted Nearest Neighbors Techniques
Description
Summary:This paper presents a simple technique to forecast next-day electricity market prices based on the weighted nearest neighbors methodology. First, it is explained how the relevant parameters defining the adopted model are obtained. Such parameters have to do with the window length of the time series and with the number of neighbors chosen for the prediction. Then, results corresponding to the Spanish electricity market during 2002 are presented and discussed. Finally, the performance of the proposed method is compared with that of recently published techniques.