On track or not? Projecting the global Multidimensional Poverty Index

This paper proposes a framework for modelling projections of multidimensional poverty. We use recently published repeated observations of multidimensional poverty, based on time-consistent indicators, for 75 countries. We consider and evaluate different approaches to model these countries' traj...

ver descrição completa

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Alkire, Sabina, Nogales, Ricardo, Quinn, Natalie Naïri|||0000-0001-6075-008X, Suppa, Nicolai|||0000-0002-4773-3864
Tipo de documento: artigo
Data de publicação:2023
País:España
Recursos:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositório:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglês
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:282903
Acesso em linha:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/282903
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103150
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Multidimensional poverty
Projection
Poverty dynamics
SDG
Descrição
Resumo:This paper proposes a framework for modelling projections of multidimensional poverty. We use recently published repeated observations of multidimensional poverty, based on time-consistent indicators, for 75 countries. We consider and evaluate different approaches to model these countries' trajectories of poverty reduction. Our preferred model respects theoretical bounds, is supported by empirical evidence, and ensures consistency of our main measure with its subindices. In our empirical analysis we first use this approach to assess whether countries are on track to halve poverty incidence between 2015 and 2030 if recent trends