Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change

Pastureland maintenance is seen as a land-based measure to reduce dependency on feed concentrates and mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from livestock production in the EU, while providing other ecosystems services. This paper assesses potential market-mediated impacts, including global Land U...

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Autores: Haddad, S., Escobar, N., Bruckner, M., Britz, W.
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Recursos:Universidad del País Vasco
Repositorio:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
OAI Identifier:oai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/69248
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10810/69248
Access Level:acceso embargado
Palavra-chave:Cattle
CGE
Greenhouse gas
Land use change
Livestock
Pastureland
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spelling Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate changeSubsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate changeHaddad, S.Escobar, N.Bruckner, M.Britz, W.CattleCGEGreenhouse gasLand use changeLivestockPasturelandPastureland maintenance is seen as a land-based measure to reduce dependency on feed concentrates and mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from livestock production in the EU, while providing other ecosystems services. This paper assesses potential market-mediated impacts, including global Land Use Change (LUC) and GHG emissions, from increased subsidies to pasture-based livestock production in the EU. A tax recycling strategy (TRS) is simulated against a baseline up to 2030 under the shared socioeconomic pathway 2 (SSP2). This implies a budget-neutral increase in the level of pasture subsidies in individual Member States, as land subsidies for other cropping activities decrease. We employ the computable general equilibrium (CGE) model GTAP in its recursive-dynamic version, GTAP-RDEM, extended with the Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) database FABIO to disaggregate agri-food sectors from 21 to 31. This approach allows considering price- and income-dependent feedbacks when assessing long-run changes in the global economy, improving the sectoral resolution relative to GTAP v10. The policy increases pastureland areas and cattle production in almost all EU Member States, whereas cropland and crop production decrease, causing significant changes across EU agri-food markets. Crop prices increase, leading to the reduced output of intensive animal production sectors, mainly pig and poultry. Cropland areas decrease and most EU countries increase imports of grain, oilseeds, and cakes, essentially soybean cake from Brazil and North America. While GHG emissions decrease in those EU countries where pasturelands expand mainly at the cost of croplands, GHG emissions increase in those countries where pastureland expansion comes with forest loss. As a result, net GHG emissions increase in the EU-27 in 2030 (+2.49 Mt CO2-eq). Emissions from LUC in major non-EU grain- and oilseed-exporting countries increase, e.g., by 102.52 Mt CO2-eq in Brazil and by 129.17 Mt CO2-eq in North America. The simulated policy shows that promoting extensive livestock per se does not meet the objectives of the Common Agricultural Policy and the EU Green Deal. The TRS should be complemented with policies to foster crop diversification and promote the use of domestic feed sources (e.g., legumes) to effectively ensure feed self-sufficiency and that extensive cattle production in the EU does not lead to deforestation in carbon-rich countries. © 2024 The AuthorsThe authors acknowledge financial support provided by the German Federal Ministry has funded this research for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) within the project “Forests in the global bioeconomy: developing multi-scale policy scenarios”. Neus Escobar also acknowledges the funding from the European Commission through the MSCA-IF project “Global Interlinkages in Food Trade Systems” (GIFTS) – GA. #101029457.Journal of Cleaner ProductionEuropean Commission202420242024info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10810/69248reponame:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigacióninstname:Universidad del País VascoInglésinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/MSCA-IFhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141074info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccesshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/© 2024 The Authors.Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 Españaoai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/692482026-06-18T09:23:17Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
title Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
spellingShingle Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
Haddad, S.
Cattle
CGE
Greenhouse gas
Land use change
Livestock
Pastureland
title_short Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
title_full Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
title_fullStr Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
title_full_unstemmed Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
title_sort Subsidizing extensive cattle production in the European Union has major implications for global agricultural trade and climate change
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Haddad, S.
Escobar, N.
Bruckner, M.
Britz, W.
author Haddad, S.
author_facet Haddad, S.
Escobar, N.
Bruckner, M.
Britz, W.
author_role author
author2 Escobar, N.
Bruckner, M.
Britz, W.
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv European Commission
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Cattle
CGE
Greenhouse gas
Land use change
Livestock
Pastureland
topic Cattle
CGE
Greenhouse gas
Land use change
Livestock
Pastureland
description Pastureland maintenance is seen as a land-based measure to reduce dependency on feed concentrates and mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from livestock production in the EU, while providing other ecosystems services. This paper assesses potential market-mediated impacts, including global Land Use Change (LUC) and GHG emissions, from increased subsidies to pasture-based livestock production in the EU. A tax recycling strategy (TRS) is simulated against a baseline up to 2030 under the shared socioeconomic pathway 2 (SSP2). This implies a budget-neutral increase in the level of pasture subsidies in individual Member States, as land subsidies for other cropping activities decrease. We employ the computable general equilibrium (CGE) model GTAP in its recursive-dynamic version, GTAP-RDEM, extended with the Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) database FABIO to disaggregate agri-food sectors from 21 to 31. This approach allows considering price- and income-dependent feedbacks when assessing long-run changes in the global economy, improving the sectoral resolution relative to GTAP v10. The policy increases pastureland areas and cattle production in almost all EU Member States, whereas cropland and crop production decrease, causing significant changes across EU agri-food markets. Crop prices increase, leading to the reduced output of intensive animal production sectors, mainly pig and poultry. Cropland areas decrease and most EU countries increase imports of grain, oilseeds, and cakes, essentially soybean cake from Brazil and North America. While GHG emissions decrease in those EU countries where pasturelands expand mainly at the cost of croplands, GHG emissions increase in those countries where pastureland expansion comes with forest loss. As a result, net GHG emissions increase in the EU-27 in 2030 (+2.49 Mt CO2-eq). Emissions from LUC in major non-EU grain- and oilseed-exporting countries increase, e.g., by 102.52 Mt CO2-eq in Brazil and by 129.17 Mt CO2-eq in North America. The simulated policy shows that promoting extensive livestock per se does not meet the objectives of the Common Agricultural Policy and the EU Green Deal. The TRS should be complemented with policies to foster crop diversification and promote the use of domestic feed sources (e.g., legumes) to effectively ensure feed self-sufficiency and that extensive cattle production in the EU does not lead to deforestation in carbon-rich countries. © 2024 The Authors
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024
2024
2024
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10810/69248
url http://hdl.handle.net/10810/69248
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/HE/MSCA-IF
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.141074
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
© 2024 The Authors.
Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
eu_rights_str_mv embargoedAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
© 2024 The Authors.
Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 3.0 España
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Journal of Cleaner Production
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Journal of Cleaner Production
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
instname:Universidad del País Vasco
instname_str Universidad del País Vasco
reponame_str Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
collection Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
repository.name.fl_str_mv
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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