On the Soundness of XAI in Prognostics and Health Management (PHM)

The aim of predictive maintenance, within the field of prognostics and health management (PHM), is to identify and anticipate potential issues in the equipment before these become serious. The main challenge to be addressed is to assess the amount of time a piece of equipment will function effective...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Solís Martín, David, Galán Páez, Juan, Borrego Díaz, Joaquín
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
Repositorio:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
OAI Identifier:oai:idus.us.es:11441/171510
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/11441/171510
https://doi.org/0.3390/info14050256
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:XAI
Interpretability
Predictive maintenance
Prognostics and health management
Remaining useful life
Deep learning
Convolutional neural network
Comparative analysis
XAI evaluation and accountability
Descripción
Sumario:The aim of predictive maintenance, within the field of prognostics and health management (PHM), is to identify and anticipate potential issues in the equipment before these become serious. The main challenge to be addressed is to assess the amount of time a piece of equipment will function effectively before it fails, which is known as remaining useful life (RUL). Deep learning (DL) models, such as Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, have been widely adopted to address the task, with great success. However, it is well known that these kinds of black box models are opaque decision systems, and it may be hard to explain their outputs to stakeholders (experts in the industrial equipment). Due to the large number of parameters that determine the behavior of these complex models, understanding the reasoning behind the predictions is challenging. This paper presents a critical and comparative revision on a number of explainable AI (XAI) methods applied on time series regression models for PM. The aim is to explore XAI methods within time series regression, which have been less studied than those for time series classification. This study addresses three distinct RUL problems using three different datasets, each with its own unique context: gearbox, fast-charging batteries, and turbofan engine. Five XAI methods were reviewed and compared based on a set of nine metrics that quantify desirable properties for any XAI method. One of the metrics introduced in this study is a novel metric. The results show that Grad-CAM is the most robust method, and that the best layer is not the bottom one, as is commonly seen within the context of image processing.