Time-Series Prediction: Application to the Short-Term Electric Energy Demand

This paper describes a time-series prediction method based on the kNN technique. The proposed methodology is applied to the 24-hour load forecasting problem. Also, based on recorded data, an alternative model is developed by means of a conventional dynamic regression technique, where the parameters...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Troncoso Lora, Alicia, Riquelme Santos, Jesús Manuel, Riquelme Santos, José Cristóbal, Gómez Expósito, Antonio, Martínez Ramos, José Luis
Tipo de recurso: capítulo de libro
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2003
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Sevilla (US)
Repositorio:idUS. Depósito de Investigación de la Universidad de Sevilla
OAI Identifier:oai:idus.us.es:11441/39336
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/11441/39336
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-25945-9_57
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Artificial Intelligence (incl. Robotics)
Mathematical Logic and Formal Languages
Computation by Abstract Devices
Descripción
Sumario:This paper describes a time-series prediction method based on the kNN technique. The proposed methodology is applied to the 24-hour load forecasting problem. Also, based on recorded data, an alternative model is developed by means of a conventional dynamic regression technique, where the parameters are estimated by solving a least squares problem. Finally, results obtained from the application of both techniques to the Spanish transmission system are compared in terms of maximum, average and minimum forecasting errors.