Testing for volatility co-movement in bivariate stochastic volatility models

The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test is a...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Chen, Jinghui, Kobayashi, Masahito, McAleer, Michael
Formato: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:España
Recursos:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/22887
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/22887
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:C12
C58
G01
G11
Lagrange multiplier test
Volatility co-movement
Stock markets
Exchange rate Markets
Financial crisis
Economía financiera
Crisis económicas
Econometría (Economía)
5307.06 Fluctuaciones Económicas
5302 Econometría
Descrição
Resumo:The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test is a stochastic volatility version of the co-movement test proposed by Engle and Susmel (1993), who investigated whether international equity markets have volatility co-movement using the framework of the ARCH model. In empirical analysis we found that volatility co-movement exists among closelylinked stock markets and that volatility co-movement of the exchange rate markets tends to be found when the overall volatility level is low, which is contrasting to the often-cited finding in the financial contagion literature that financial returns have co-movement in the level during the financial crisis.