Factors Influencing the European Bank’s Probability of Default: An Application of SYMBOL Methodology
This paper analyses European banks’ probability of default (PD) by estimating a new measure that is based on the SYstemic Model of Bank Originated Losses (SYMBOL). First, we calculate the individual PD of a sample of European credit institutions during the period of 2011–2016. Then, dynamic panel da...
| Autores: | , , |
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| Formato: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión aceptada para publicación |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2019 |
| País: | España |
| Recursos: | Universidad de Jaén |
| Repositorio: | RUJA. Repositorio Institucional de la Producción Científica de la Universidad de Jaén |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ruja.ujaen.es:10953/1369 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2019.04.003 https://hdl.handle.net/10953/1369 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443118304700?via%3Dihub |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palavra-chave: | Probability of default Basel regulatory framework CAMEL indicators SYMBOL Financial stability |
| Resumo: | This paper analyses European banks’ probability of default (PD) by estimating a new measure that is based on the SYstemic Model of Bank Originated Losses (SYMBOL). First, we calculate the individual PD of a sample of European credit institutions during the period of 2011–2016. Then, dynamic panel data models are estimated to analyse the influence of several bank-specific and macroeconomic variables on the PD. We conclude that capital adequacy, liquidity, asset quality and profitability indicators influence the European banks’ PD. The macroeconomic scenario, the industry concentration and the size of banks also appear to have an impact on their risk. |
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