Predictability and self-similarity in demand maturity of tourist destinations: The case of Tenerife
This work aims to explore the behavior of a mature island tourist destination, Tenerife, according to the Autoregressive Fractional Differencing Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model. This behavior will be compared to several other destinations, in an increasing geographical scale. Relevant lesso...
| Autores: | , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2019 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universidad Autónoma de Madrid |
| Repositorio: | Biblos-e Archivo. Repositorio Institucional de la UAM |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:repositorio.uam.es:10486/690970 |
| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/10486/690970 https://dx.doi.org/10.32826/cude.v42i118.16 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Demand modeling Mature tourist destinations ARFIMA Economía |
| Sumario: | This work aims to explore the behavior of a mature island tourist destination, Tenerife, according to the Autoregressive Fractional Differencing Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model. This behavior will be compared to several other destinations, in an increasing geographical scale. Relevant lessons will arise for policy making at the short and long run. Predictability seems to be available but only for a limited horizon. Self similarity across geographic level seems to arise from the results. These findings complement previous conceptualizations like classic TALC (tourism area life cycle) based on long term predictability |
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