On the Stability and Equilibrium Points of Multistaged SI (n) R Epidemic Models

This paper relies on the concept of next generation matrix defined ad hoc for a new proposed extended SEIR model referred to as SI(n)R-model to study its stability. The model includes n successive stages of infectious subpopulations, each one acting at the exposed subpopulation of the next infectiou...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Nistal Riobello, Raúl, De la Sen Parte, Manuel, Alonso Quesada, Santiago, Ibeas Hernández, Asier, Garrido Hernández, Aitor Josu
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2015
País:España
Institución:Universidad del País Vasco
Repositorio:Addi. Archivo Digital para la Docencia y la Investigación
OAI Identifier:oai:addi.ehu.eus:10810/18200
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10810/18200
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:global stability
desease transmission
population-dynamics
pulse vaccination
of-view
delay
bifurcation
MODELING AND SIMULATION
Descripción
Sumario:This paper relies on the concept of next generation matrix defined ad hoc for a new proposed extended SEIR model referred to as SI(n)R-model to study its stability. The model includes n successive stages of infectious subpopulations, each one acting at the exposed subpopulation of the next infectious stage in a cascade global disposal where each infectious population acts as the exposed subpopulation of the next infectious stage. The model also has internal delays which characterize the time intervals of the coupling of the susceptible dynamics with the infectious populations of the various cascade infectious stages. Since the susceptible subpopulation is common, and then unique, to all the infectious stages, its coupled dynamic action on each of those stages is modeled with an increasing delay as the infectious stage index increases from 1 to n. The physical interpretation of the model is that the dynamics of the disease exhibits different stages in which the infectivity and the mortality rates vary as the individual numbers go through the process of recovery, each stage with a characteristic average time.