Metapopulation epidemic models with heterogeneous mixing and travel behaviour

[Background] Determining the pandemic potential of an emerging infectious disease and how it depends on the various epidemic and population aspects is critical for the preparation of an adequate response aimed at its control. The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homoge...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Apolloni, Andrea, Poletto, Chiara, Ramasco, José J., Jensen, Pablo, Colizza, Vittoria
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2014
País:España
Recursos:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)
Repositorio:DIGITAL.CSIC. Repositorio Institucional del CSIC
OAI Identifier:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/94753
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10261/94753
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Metapopulation models
Epidemic spreading
Complex networks
Mobility
Mixing patterns
Travel behaviour
Descrição
Resumo:[Background] Determining the pandemic potential of an emerging infectious disease and how it depends on the various epidemic and population aspects is critical for the preparation of an adequate response aimed at its control. The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address this issue, we present an analytical modelling approach taking into account such interplay under general conditions of mobility and interactions, in the simplifying assumption of two population classes.