Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts

Introduction: The complexity that criminal governance has acquired through predatory and clientelistic actions by criminal groups has called into question the state's capacity to protect the population. In Mexico, as in other countries in the region, this has placed in the public debate the rel...

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Autores: Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador, Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo, Sandoval Vargas, Hector
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2025
País:Ecuador
Institución:Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales
Repositorio:Revista URVIO
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec:article/6267
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
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dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
Gobernanza criminal y capacidad estatal en México: apoyo ciudadano a los pactos político-delictivos
title Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
spellingShingle Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
title_short Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_full Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_fullStr Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_full_unstemmed Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
title_sort Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pacts
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo
Sandoval Vargas, Hector
author Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
author_facet Hernández Morales, Alan Salvador
Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo
Sandoval Vargas, Hector
author_role author
author2 Alva Rivera, Miguel Eduardo
Sandoval Vargas, Hector
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
topic Gobernanza criminal
Clientelismo
Capacidad estatal
Pactos político-delictivos
Violencia
Criminal governance
Clientelism
State capacity
Political-criminal pacts
Violence
description Introduction: The complexity that criminal governance has acquired through predatory and clientelistic actions by criminal groups has called into question the state's capacity to protect the population. In Mexico, as in other countries in the region, this has placed in the public debate the relevance of pacts between the government and criminals as a measure to reduce violence. Objective: Therefore, this research aims to understand the factors that influence people's support for a political-criminal arrangement, as well as those that contribute to considering criminal organizations legitimate and approving the impunity of their members. Methodology: To this purpose, we conducted an econometric analysis based on two nationally representative surveys. Conclusions: The results suggest that when clientelistic criminal governance is exercised and when there is less state capacity in the area of security, citizen approval of the pacts between the government and criminal groups increases, as well as their legitimacy. On the contrary, when criminal governance is violent, the population's repudiation of criminals increases and there is greater pressure on the government to fight them.
publishDate 2025
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2025-01-22
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dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267
10.17141/urvio.41.2025.6267
url https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267
identifier_str_mv 10.17141/urvio.41.2025.6267
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https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5016
https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5017
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv FLACSO - Sede Ecuador
publisher.none.fl_str_mv FLACSO - Sede Ecuador
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; No. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-65
URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; Núm. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-65
1390-4299
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spelling Criminal governance and state capacity in Mexico: Citizen support for political-criminal pactsGobernanza criminal y capacidad estatal en México: apoyo ciudadano a los pactos político-delictivosHernández Morales, Alan SalvadorAlva Rivera, Miguel EduardoSandoval Vargas, HectorGobernanza criminalClientelismoCapacidad estatalPactos político-delictivosViolenciaCriminal governanceClientelismState capacityPolitical-criminal pactsViolenceIntroduction: The complexity that criminal governance has acquired through predatory and clientelistic actions by criminal groups has called into question the state's capacity to protect the population. In Mexico, as in other countries in the region, this has placed in the public debate the relevance of pacts between the government and criminals as a measure to reduce violence. Objective: Therefore, this research aims to understand the factors that influence people's support for a political-criminal arrangement, as well as those that contribute to considering criminal organizations legitimate and approving the impunity of their members. Methodology: To this purpose, we conducted an econometric analysis based on two nationally representative surveys. Conclusions: The results suggest that when clientelistic criminal governance is exercised and when there is less state capacity in the area of security, citizen approval of the pacts between the government and criminal groups increases, as well as their legitimacy. On the contrary, when criminal governance is violent, the population's repudiation of criminals increases and there is greater pressure on the government to fight them.Introducción: la complejidad que ha adquirido la gobernanza criminal mediante acciones predatorias y clientelares por parte de los grupos delictivos ha puesto en entredicho la capacidad estatal para proteger a la población. En México, como en otros países de la región, esto ha colocado en el debate público la pertinencia de los pactos entre el Gobierno y los delincuentes como medida para disminuir la violencia. Objetivo: por tanto, esta investigación busca conocer los factores que influyen en que las personas apoyen un arreglo político-delictivo, así como aquellos que contribuyen a considerar legítimas a las organizaciones criminales y la impunidad de sus miembros. Metodología: para ello, realizamos un análisis econométrico a partir de dos encuestas con representatividad nacional. Conclusiones: los resultados sugieren que cuando se ejerce una gobernanza criminal de tipo clientelar y cuando existe menor capacidad estatal en materia de seguridad, se incrementa la aprobación de la ciudadanía por los pactos entre el Gobierno y los grupos delictivos, así como la legitimación de estos. Por el contrario, cuando la gobernanza criminal es violenta, crece el repudio de la población hacia los delincuentes y se ejerce una mayor presión al gobierno para combatirlos.FLACSO - Sede Ecuador2025-01-22info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdftext/htmlapplication/xmlhttps://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/626710.17141/urvio.41.2025.6267URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; No. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-65URVIO. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad; Núm. 41 (2025): Urvio. Revista Latinoamericana de Estudios de Seguridad (enero-abril): Narcopolítica II; 47-651390-42991390-369110.17141/urvio.41.2025reponame:Revista URVIOinstname:Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Socialesinstacron:FLACSOspahttps://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5026https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5016https://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvio/article/view/6267/5017Derechos de autor 2025 Alan Salvador Hernández Morales, Miguel Eduardo Alva Rivera, Hector Sandoval Vargashttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2026-02-24T22:36:16Zoai:revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec:article/6267Portal de revistashttps://revistas.flacsoandes.edu.ec/urvioInstitución privadahttps://www.flacso.edu.ec..Ecuador.1390-42991390-3691opendoar:02026-07-19T10:06:37.913467Revista URVIO - Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Socialestrue
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