Profit margins, exchange rates and structural change: empirical evidences for the period 1996-2017

This research seeks to understand the relationship between the rate of profit and the exchange rate and how this relationship can impact the productive structure. We construct a theoretical model in which the exchange rate influences the rate of profit, and we argue that although an overvalued excha...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Marconi, Nelson, Magacho, Guilherme, Machado, João Guilherme R., Leão, Rafael de Azevedo Ramires
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:2020
País:Brasil
Recursos:EDITORA 34
Repositório:Revista de Economia Política
Idioma:inglês
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs2.centrodeeconomiapolitica.org:article/690
Acesso em linha:https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/690
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Margens de lucro, taxa de câmbio
investimento
Novo Desenvolvimentismo
desindustrialização, manufatura
mudança estrutural
Profit-Margins, Exchange Rate
Investment
New Developmentalism
Deindustrialization
Manufacturing
Structural Change
Descrição
Resumo:This research seeks to understand the relationship between the rate of profit and the exchange rate and how this relationship can impact the productive structure. We construct a theoretical model in which the exchange rate influences the rate of profit, and we argue that although an overvalued exchange rate could benefit sectors with high imported input coefficients in the short term because it reduces costs, it negatively impacts the demand for their products and also reduces the aggregatedemand; hence, an overvalued exchange rate could shrink the profit rate of these sectors in the medium term. In the Brazilian case, these sectors are the high technological-content manufacturing sectors. JEL Classification: F41; F63; L16; O11; O14.