Effects of overvaluation and exchange rate volatility over industrial investment: empirical evidence and economic policy proposals for Brazil
The present article aims to analyze the recent behavior of real exchange rate in Brazil and its effects over investment per worker in Brazilian manufacturing and extractive industry. Preliminary estimates presented in the article shows an over-valuation of 48% of real exchange rate in Brazil. The re...
| Autores: | , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2014 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Institución: | EDITORA 34 |
| Repositorio: | Revista de Economia Política |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs2.centrodeeconomiapolitica.org:article/277 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/277 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Taxa de câmbio real desenvolvimento econômico macroeconomia de desenvolvimento estruturalista Real exchange rate economic development structuralist development macroeconomics |
| Sumario: | The present article aims to analyze the recent behavior of real exchange rate in Brazil and its effects over investment per worker in Brazilian manufacturing and extractive industry. Preliminary estimates presented in the article shows an over-valuation of 48% of real exchange rate in Brazil. The reaction between the level (and volatility) of real exchange rate and investment (per worker) in Brazil is analyzed by means of a panel data econometric model for 30 sectors of Brazilian manufacturing and extractive industry. The empirical results show that the level and volatility of real exchange rate has a strong effect over investment per worker in Brazilian industry. Finally, we conclude the article presenting a proposal for a new macroeconomic regime that aims to produce an acceleration of economic growth of Brazilian economy and, by that, a catching-up process with developed countries. JEL Classification: L5; O11; F41. |
|---|