WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
The possible characteristics of the forthcoming municipal election will be presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are considered for construction of scenarios: 1)Polarization / Nationaliz...
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| Formato: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2020 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Recursos: | Universidade Federal do Tocantins (UFT) |
| Repositorio: | Revista Observatório |
| Idioma: | portugués |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs.revista.uft.edu.br:article/10564 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10564 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palavra-chave: | Eleição municipal Comportamento do eleitor Análise prospectiva Covid-19 |
| Resumo: | The possible characteristics of the forthcoming municipal election will be presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are considered for construction of scenarios: 1)Polarization / Nationalization; 2) Political and economic crisis; 3) Covid-19. The possible effects on the voter of these three causal variables are presented. This article reveals the importance of using the conjuncture analysis, the construction of scenarios and the prospective analysis to explain the voter's behavior. |
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