Os efeitos contracionistas da PEC Emergencial: o impacto da incerteza do pagamento de salários do setor público na economia brasileira
This work aims to project the main economic impacts of the reduction of up to 25% of salaries and working hours of the civil servants, foreseen in the Proposed Constitutional Amendment (PEC) 186. The results point out significant negative effects on the sectors, in addition to effects on GDP and emp...
| Autores: | , , , |
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| Tipo de documento: | artigo |
| Estado: | Versão publicada |
| Data de publicação: | 2020 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Recursos: | Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) |
| Repositório: | Repositório Institucional da UFMG |
| Idioma: | português |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:repositorio.ufmg.br:1843/51820 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://doi.org/10.21171/ges.v14i40.3174 http://hdl.handle.net/1843/51820 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7640-6010 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-8552 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0100-3698 |
| Access Level: | Acceso aberto |
| Palavra-chave: | Gasto Público Austeridade Emprego Salários Equilíbrio Geral Computável |
| Resumo: | This work aims to project the main economic impacts of the reduction of up to 25% of salaries and working hours of the civil servants, foreseen in the Proposed Constitutional Amendment (PEC) 186. The results point out significant negative effects on the sectors, in addition to effects on GDP and employment in the short and medium term. The simulations indicate that GDP may decline from -1.4%, to the 25% cut, to -0.30%, to a 5% cut, as a short -term effect of this type of policy. In the medium term, the negative impact is perm anent if the measure is not reversed: - 1%, for a 25% cut, and -0.2%, for a 5% cut. |
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