FORECASTING ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN BRAZILIAN RURAL AREAS: A BOX-JENKINS APPROACH
The aim of this work is to predict the consumption of electric energy in the Brazilian rural area for the short term, using the time series model of Box-Jenkins, in its univariate form. The series of electricity consumption data corresponds to the period 1996 to 2020, distributed quarterly. Among th...
| Autores: | , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2022 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Institución: | Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
| Repositorio: | Organizações Rurais & Agroindustriais (Online) |
| Idioma: | portugués |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:www.revista.dae.ufla.br:article/1844 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.revista.dae.ufla.br/index.php/ora/article/view/1844 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Eletrificação rural séries temporais zona rural Rural electrification times series rural environment |
| Sumario: | The aim of this work is to predict the consumption of electric energy in the Brazilian rural area for the short term, using the time series model of Box-Jenkins, in its univariate form. The series of electricity consumption data corresponds to the period 1996 to 2020, distributed quarterly. Among the results, it was found that the model is well adjusted and predicts, for the short term, successive increases in energy consumption in rural areas. This reflects the non-decrease in the productive pace in Brazilian agribusiness and the resilience of rural family production. |
|---|